Acute food insecurity likely to remain Minimal even with the lean season underway
KEY MESSAGES
The lean season is ongoing through August and prices have started to seasonally rise, in particular white maize. Poor households are likely to reduce white maize consumption and increase their intake of other grains such as red beans due to low prices.
Poor households will meet their needs due to average income and their food stocks are likely to last through May/Jun. Accessible food prices will continue through August when food access from the Primera harvest begins. Acute food insecurity will remain Minimal (Phase 1, IPC 2.0) through the end of the projection period, September 2013.
The Primera planting season will begin late May/early June. Most areas of the country will likely have normal rainfall distribution through July. Yields are likely to be average despite the anticipated canícula (July/August), as it is expected to be less dry than usual. However, below-average rainfall in June in the dry corridor area may impact final production yields in that area.
Coffee rust prevalence will reduce production and labor demand and wages by at least 30 percent during the next harvest (October 2013 – March 2014).